Why Israel will lose?

Sunday/Monday blog

Here are just four reasons why I believe Israel will lose the war against Iran-backed Hamas and Iran’s other chums in the Middle East:

Reason 1: An impossible task

Israel claims it wants to destroy Hamas. There are apparently about 30,000 to 40,000 Hamas fighters. How many can Israel actually kill? 1,000? 2,000? 5,000? More? But it would be impossible for Israel to kill 30,000 to 40,000. Moreover, for every Hamas member killed there will be 5 or 10 or even 20 new volunteers. As they say, you can kill people, but you cannot kill an idea. In this case the ‘idea’ ranges from establishing a Palestinian state to murdering all Jews as is dictated in the Religion of Wonderfulness’s holy book.

Reason 2: A diplomatic and public relations disaster

Israel sees itself as a tiny, vulnerable country of about 7 million Jews and a couple of million Arabs surrounded by a group of hostile Arab states with a population of over 465 million. So the Israelis see the current battle as a fight for survival and cannot understand why the rest of the world doesn’t see this. However, most of the world sees the battle as a heavily-armed Israeli military attacking an almost defenceless Palestinian population of about 2.3 million, around half of whom are under the age of eighteen. The daily picures of wrecked Gazan buildings and wounded and dead Palestinians are a diplomatic and public relations disaster for Israel and are making Israel into a pariah state

Reason 3: Asymetric warfare

It’s clear that militarily Israel is more powerful than Hamas. But Vietnam, Afghanistan and more recently Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has show us that military superiority doesn’t always equal battlefield victory.� Israel has repeatedly shown it can defeat Arab armies in conventional warfare. What Hamas have done is effectively use asymetric warfare to negate Israel’s military advantage by drawing Israel into a modern-day Stalingrad of urban and tunnel warfare which may give Hamas the advantage. The Germans reduced Stalingrad to rubble but still couldn’t win. The world will not allow Israel to use the same tactics in the heavily populated Gaza Strip.�Moreover, it took the Americans and Iraqi forces nine months to drive ISIS out of Mosul. Israel will only have a couple of weeks at most before it is forced by international pressure into some kind of ceasefire. Then the Israeli army will probably end up withdrawing from the Gaza Strip leaving most of Hamas’s infrastructure intact – ready for the next attack on Israel.

Reason 4: Israel has shown it is vulnerable

The 7th October Hamas attack and the current Gaza quagmire has shown Israel’s enemies that the country is no longer militarily invincible. This will invite ever more attacks which eventually will overwhelm Israel’s capacity to defend itself.

Can Israel ever be a viable state?

In its 75-year existence, Israel has achieved the impossible – turning a small piece of Middle-East scrubland into one of the world’s most fertile, technically-advanced and democratic countries. Ideally, the international community should come together to achieve a two-state solution. But Israel’s enemies’ implacable hatred of the Jews is such that I have my doubts whether the Arabs would ever stop their attacks on Israel whatever land or other concessions the Israelis make. I doubt Israel can survive to reach 100 years.

Israel is only around 290 miles long and 85 miles at the widest point. The only solution I can see is for an international agreement gradually handing over Israel’s land to the Palestinians over maybe a 10-year period and using money from the oil-rich Gulf states to pay for Israelis to move to any country of their choosing with the agreement they will be given citizenship of their country of choice. After all, in 2022, around 2.8 million migrants entered the USA, about one million came to Britain, probably over one million came to Europe. So there should be no problem for countries to absorb just over� 7 million highly-educated, highly-productive Israelis over a period of say ten years.

Another advantage of this would be that Western countries could expel anyone claiming to be a Palestinian refugee as the Palestinians would now have their own glorious country. Though, as we all know, within just a few years of taking over Israeli land, the corrupt, incompetent, multi-multi-millionaire Palestinian leaders would have turned rich, fertile, technically-advanced Israel into poverty-stricken, backwards scrubland with a couple of mangy goats and a few half-hearted olive trees.

If this handing over of Israeli land was to happen – and I realise it won’t – the fun part would be to see the reactions of the Israeli Arabs. Now they jump around sceaming their mouth-frothing hatred of Israelis and the West while having all the advantages of living in a rich democratic country with abundant job opportunities. But I suspect that, when faced with the prospect of living in unemployed poverty whie being governed by incompetent, venal, primitive, kleptocrat Hamas or PLO butchers, most Israeli Arabs would much rather follow the Israeli Jews away from the Holy Land.

The bleeding-heart progressive liberals in the West no doubt believe that sacrificing Israel to our Religion of Wonderfulness friends will appease them. But in a sense, this proposal could be called ‘The Crocodile Strategy’ – by surrendering other people to the crocodile, you hope the crocodile will not eat you. If this were ever to happen, the pro-Palestinian mobs would soon find out that the crocodile is not so easily appeased and the end of Israel will only delay, not avoid, an eventual confrontation with those who hate us and want to dominate us:

I understand that Israel had to respond to the 7th October Hamas attacks. But by responding, Israel may be committing suicide. Here’s someone explaining Israel’s dilemma better than I can. He does say some things I disagree with such as the Gaza Strip being like an open-air prison. In fact the Gaza Strip is such an impoverished hell-hole because Hamas have stolen the many billions in foreign aid given to Gaza and used it to build their 300 miles of tunnels, buy weapons and make Hamas leaders richer than Croesus: